According to astronomer Sævar Helgi Bragason, there’s a natural cycle in the activity of Northern Lights connected to solar activity. The cycle takes around 11 years with a solar maximum having occurred in-between 2013 and 2104.
As according to this cycle, forecast are now predicting for Northern Lights activity to dwindle between 2019 and 2021. The fact that the Sun’s activity is slowly waning towards Solar Minimum i.e. less frequent solar eruptions and solar winds carrying particles that slam the earths Magnetosphere creating a fusion from which emanate the phenomena we know as the Northern Lights, is not seen as to deterr tourists from booking Northern Lights trips to Iceland. This might, of course be due to tourist not generally being in the know when it comes to Astrophysics.
“I believe that less Northern Lights activity will not have a profound effect on whether tourists will book Northern Lights trips in Iceland,” says Þórir Garðarsson managing director of Gray Line in Iceland, one of the leading companies to offer Northern Lights trips for tourists. Astronomer Bragason also points out, that it’s already clear that this winter will be a great one for seeing Northern Lights and he believes that next winter will also be good. The minimum activity forecast for Northern Lights is set to be between 2020 and 2021.
First seen on Iceland Monitor.